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Notícia no Haaretz de hoje destaca a declaração do chefe da inteligência militar israelense segundo a qual o Irã e o Hezbollah estariam aumentando o apoio a Assad para evitar sua queda. Vale lembrar que há alguns dias os turcos interceptaram caminhões indo do Irã para a Síria levando armas em apoio ao Governo sírio.

Um comentário importante diz respeito à previsão da inteligência de que Assad deve buscar alguma forma de conflito – provavelmente uma guerra contra Israel para justificar sua permanência no poder. Não acredito muito nisso não, não ainda. Afinal, o tipo de distúrbio doméstico que ocorre na Síria só se agravaria no caso de uma guerra contra Israel.

Outra observação que merece destaque é que de que o israelense não acredita que as situação nas Colinas de Golã não ficará tão tranquila em um futuro próximo.

IDF official: Iran, Hezbollah stepping up efforts to save Assad regime in Syria

By Gili Cohen

Military Intelligence chief says face of Middle East is changing in such a way that it is no longer recognizable.

Iran and Hezbollah are strengthening their efforts to ensure the survival of the Bashar Assad regime in Syria, Military Intelligence Chief Major General Aviv Kochavi said on Wednesday.

“They are providing [Assad] with knowledge, weapons and other means and recently with active involvement,” Kochavi said.

Kochavi also said that the face of the Middle East is changing in such a way that it is no longer recognizable.

“It may be that the winds of change carry opportunities and promise, but in the short and medium term the risks are increasing,” he stated.

On Tuesday, IDF Chief of Staff Benny Gantz said that the turmoil in Syria could cause Assad to seek military confrontation with Israel.

“Assad cannot continue holding on to power and his downfall is expected to cause a crack in the radical axis,” Gantz said.

“Assad and the Syrian regime may have a hard time acting against us in the short-term, but we also need to take into account that Syria has advanced weapons systems. They have advanced Russian arms such as Yakhont missiles.”

The IDF chief said that he was not sure whether the Golan Heights, on the border with Syria, will remain quiet in the near future.

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